Hex Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'USA Men' started by yankeeRoyal, Feb 2, 2013.

  1. yankeeRoyal

    yankeeRoyal Member+

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    1) Mexico
    2) Costa Rica
    3) USA
    4) Panama
    5) Jamaica
    6) Honduras


  2. BimmerBenz95

    BimmerBenz95 Member+

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    I thought you predicted that the USA were going to finish 4th in the Hex?
    soccersubjectively repped this.
  3. yankeeRoyal

    yankeeRoyal Member+

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    Upon reflection.......I couldn't see Jamaica Panama or Honduras being better than us over ten games. Got a prediction?
  4. BimmerBenz95

    BimmerBenz95 Member+

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    1. Mexico
    2. USA
    3. Costa Rica
    4. Panama
    5. Honduras
    6. Jamaica


  5. Mr Martin

    Mr Martin Member+

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    I'll go with Bimmer's order:

    1. Mexico (20 or 21 points)
    2. USA (between 16-18 points)
    3. Costa Rica (13-15 points)
    4. Panama (10-13 points)
    5. Honduras (10-12 points)
    6. Jamaica (7-11 points)
  6. Beerking

    Beerking Member+

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    #1. Mexico
    #2. Costa Rica
    #3. Jamaica
    #4. (tie) Panama & USA
    #.5 Honduras
  7. LongDuckDong

    LongDuckDong Member+

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    To end up in 4th, we'd likely need to get less than 12 or 13 points. That's a record of 4-7-0, 3-4-3, 2-2-6, or 1-0-9. None of those scenarios seem very likely.

    For example a 3-4-3 record could mean losing both games to Mexico (certainly possible), then going 3-0-1 at home and 0-2-2. The home record seems possible; the loss to Mexico and then the hiccup tie. However only getting 2 points on the road seems unlikely. I think there's a pretty good chance we win at least one game on the road.
  8. Beerking

    Beerking Member+

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    Which of our previous games under Klinsmann instilled all this confidence in you?o_O
  9. AutoPenalti

    AutoPenalti BigSoccer Supporter

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    1) USA 30 :D WWWWWWWWWW
    2) Mexico 22 WDLWWWLWWW
    2) Honduras 15 LDDDWLLWWW
    4) Costa Rica 10 LLWDLWLLLW
    5) Jamaica 9 LWLWLLLWLL
    3) Panama 8 WLDLLLWDLL
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  10. Excellency

    Excellency Member+

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    Say we go 3-1-1 at home, losing to Mexico and letting one game slip into a draw.

    That would be 10 points from home games. To get to 13 we would need to draw 3 on the road, assuming we dont win on the road.

    The sooner we get that road win under our belt.....
  11. LongDuckDong

    LongDuckDong Member+

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    I was doing the math for 12, but your last point is a good one. If we win in Honduras, we're in really good shape for the rest of the hex. We could go 3-1-1 at home and we'd still have 13 points. Any other road points would be gravy.
  12. Mr Martin

    Mr Martin Member+

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    I think the US will go 3W-2D-0L at home for 11 points. Then we will get at least 1 win and 2 ties on the road for 5 more points. Minimum 16 points. That's how I get to my range of 16-18 points and 2nd place, in my prior post of this thread.
  13. Sam Hamwich

    Sam Hamwich Member+

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    I don't know points, but I think a point will come when the Kaptain is on bended knee begging our Soccer Jesus, Donovan, to suit up to save our bacon....with that kind of role, Donovan will show up.
  14. yankeeRoyal

    yankeeRoyal Member+

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    Comments are outpacing predictions. :-(
    I need ten predictions (or more) for a large enough sample size.
  15. BimmerBenz95

    BimmerBenz95 Member+

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    [​IMG]
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  16. ImaPuppy

    ImaPuppy Member+

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    I'm going with:

    1) Mexico
    2) USA
    3) CR
    4) Jamaica (who subsequently defeat New Zealand for the play-in spot)
    5) Honduras (lose the 4th spot on GD or something to Jamaica)
    6) Panama
  17. ussoccer97531

    ussoccer97531 Member+

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    T1. Mexico
    T1. USA
    3. Honduras
    4. Costa Rica
    5. Jamaica
    6. Panama

    Maybe its just wishful thinking, but I think if we can split the home and home with Mexico, we can at least tie the hex. There is no reason that we should drop any points at home other than the Mexico game. It could happen, but I really don't see it happening. For the road games, there is also no reason that Mexico won't have the same troubles that we would have on the road in central america. Playing on the road in central america and Jamaica is tough. Mexico isn't just going to role over these teams on the road, they will have to get hard fought wins.

    Anyway, I think we tie the hex, while they win on goal differential since they usually score more goals than we do. I think Honduras is a pretty solid #3, while Costa Rica is an unchallenged #4. I think Jamaica and Panama will have trouble getting any points on the road, while I think both teams will only get about 5 or 6 points at home.
  18. yankeeRoyal

    yankeeRoyal Member+

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    I believe that CONCACAF's 4th place plays South America's 4th place.
  19. ImaPuppy

    ImaPuppy Member+

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    Nope, its Oceania's top team, likely New Zealand but could also be someone like Tahiti, who actually won the OFC Championship and qualified for the Confed Cup this time around.
  20. yankeeRoyal

    yankeeRoyal Member+

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    FIFA says Oceania. ESPN says CONMEBAL.
    http://soccernet.espn.go.com/tables...ype/4/world-cup-qualifying---concacaf?cc=5901
    Usually I'd accept the governing body's website......but it is FIFA we're talking about. Cheers. :)
  21. Athlone

    Athlone Member

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    ESPN also says Oceania. The listing of CONMEBAL in that article was a mistake-the 4th place finisher will be playing the winner in the OFC.

    http://soccernet.espn.go.com/feature/_/id/932763/2014-world-cup-qualifying?cc=5901
  22. TheLostUniversity

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    sXeWesley repped this.
  23. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

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    New Zealand and New Caledonia are the only countries who can win the OFC group.
  24. ImaPuppy

    ImaPuppy Member+

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    I see, I hadn't done research on how far in their WCQ was. Thanks for the update.

    Looks like its very likely going to be NZ.
  25. Eleven Bravo

    Eleven Bravo Member+

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    TABLE:
    1. Mexico: 24 pts, +19, -6 (+13)
    2. Costa Rica: 16pts, +13, -11 (+2)
    3. USA: 16 pts, +11, -10 (+1)
    4. Jamaica: 14pts, +7, -12 (-5)
    5. Honduras: 9pts, +13, -16 (-3)
    6. Panama: 4pts, +6, -15 (-9)


    USA 1 Mexico 1
    USA 2 Jamaica 0
    USA 1 Panama 1
    USA 2 Costa Rica 1
    USA 3 Honduras 2
    -
    USA 1 Honduras 1
    USA 0 costa Rica 2
    USA 0 Panama 0
    USA 1 jamaica 0
    USA 0 Mexico 2
    -
    Mexico 3 Panama 0
    Mexico 2 Jamaica 0
    Mexico 2 Honduras 0
    Mexico 2 Costa Rica 1
    -
    Mexico 2 Panama 0
    Mexico 1 jamaica 1
    Mexico 2 Honduras 2
    Mexico 2 costa Rica 1
    -
    costa Rica 1 Panama 0
    costa Rica 2 Jamaica 0
    costa Rica 1 Honduras 0
    -
    Costa Rica 2 Panama 0
    Costa Rica 1 jamaica 1
    Costa Rica 1 Honduras 2
    -
    Honduras 2 Panama 1
    Honduras 1 Jamaica 1
    -
    Honduras 2 Panama 2
    Honduras 1 jamaica 2
    -
    Jamaica 1 Panama 1
    -
    jamaica 1 Panama 0

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