MLS Cup Playoffs Predictions by Regular Season Series: How accurate are they?

Discussion in 'MLS: General' started by henryo, Oct 30, 2012.

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Which 2 Teams will meet in MLS Cup Final 2012?

  1. San Jose Earthquakes

    31.3%
  2. Sporting Kansas City

    43.8%
  3. D.C. United

    12.5%
  4. New York Red Bulls

    6.3%
  5. Real Salt Lake

    18.8%
  6. Chicago Fire

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. Seattle Sounder

    12.5%
  8. L.A. Galaxy

    34.4%
  9. Houston Dynamo

    37.5%
  10. Vancouver Whitecaps

    3.1%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    MLS Cup Playoffs 2012 Predictions by Regular Season Series
    - revised after Conf. Final 1st leg (Nov-11).

    Quick Notes:
    • Houston are back in the driver's seat again...
    • Prediction Accuracy so far: still 50.00%.
    # Series Predicted
    Winners
    Actual
    Winners
    Hit/Miss?
    1 East KO Chicago Houston Miss
    2 West KO L.A. L.A Hit
    3 East Conf. Semi #1 Houston Houston Hit
    4 East Conf. Semi #2 D.C. D.C. Hit
    5 West Conf. Semi #1 S.J. L.A. Miss
    6 West Conf. Semi #2 RSL. Seattle Miss
    7 East Conf. Final Houston Houston leading
    3-1 after 1st leg
    Hit for now?
    8 West Conf. Final Seattle L.A. leading
    3-0 after 1st leg
    Miss for now?
    Total 4 Hits? / 8 Series
    (50.00%)

    Eastern Conference:
    K.O.:​
    4.Chicago vs. 5.Houston (Regular Season Series: Chicago 1-1, 3-1 Houston @ home; Actual: Houston advanced 2-0.)

    Conference Semis:​
    1.Kansas City vs. 4.Houston (Regular Season Series: 1-2, 0-0, 1-1; Actual: Houston advanced on aggregate goals 2-1)
    2.D.C. United vs. 3.New York (Regular Season Series: 4-1, 2-3, 2-2; Actual: D.C. advanced on aggregate goals 2-1)

    Conference Final:​
    2.D.C. United vs. 4.Houston (Regular Season Series: 3-2, 0-1, 0-4; Actual: Houston leading 3-1 after 1st leg.)​

    Western Conference:
    K.O.:​
    4.L.A. vs. 5.Vancouver (Regular Season Series: L.A. 3-0, 2-0 V.W. @ home; Actual: L.A. advanced 2-1.)

    Conference Semis:​
    1.San Jose vs. 4.L.A. (Regular Season Series: 3-2, 4-3, 2-2; Actual: L.A. advanced on aggregate goals 3-2)
    2.R.S.L. vs. 3.Seattle (Regular Season Series: 1-0, 0-0, 0-0; Actual: Seattle advanced on aggregate goals 1-0)

    Conference Final:​
    2.Seattle vs. 4.L.A. (Regular Season Series: 2-0, 4-0, 0-1; Actual: L.A. leading 3-0 after 1st leg.)​

    MLS Cup Final 2012:​
    (SS#8) L.A. vs. (SS#9) Houston (Regular Season Series: 1-2; Houston win MLS Cup!!)
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]


  2. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    The other "aftermath" of Nov-11 conference final results:

    1. 2012 final may well see the rematch of 2011 final at the same venue (HDC). While back-to-back cup final rematch have happened once before in 2006-07, at least they were at different venues (2006: PHP, 2007: RFK).

    2. 2012 final could set a new record on lowest seeding for the finalists:
    Seeding Criteria L.A. Houston "Sum of Seedings" Remarks
    By Conference W4 E5 9 Beats the previous record of "8",
    set in 2010 by Dallas (W3) & Colorado (W5, or "E3").
    By SS Standings #8 #9 17 Beats the previous record of "11",
    also set in 2010 by Dallas (#4) & Colorado (#7).

    3. Should Houston win it all, they will become the lowest-seeded champion ever:
    Seeding Criteria Houston Remarks
    By Conference E5 Beats the previous record of "4",
    set in 2005 by L.A. (W4) & 2009 by RSL (W5, or "E4").
    By SS Standings #9 Beats the previous record of "#8",
    also set in 2005 by L.A. (#8) and 2009 by RSL (#8).

    4. L.A. now have 102 playoff goals after the 3-0 win over Seattle on 11/11.
    D.C. now take sole possession of 2nd place at 61 goals, with the lone goal scored in the 1-3 loss to Houston on the same day.

    5. A curious pattern is developing for Seattle in the playoffs:
    Season Playoffs Outcome Remarks
    2009 Made 1st playoffs Conf. Semi: vs. Houston 0-0, 0-1.
    2010 Score 1st playoff goal Conf. Semi: vs. L.A. 0-1, 1-2.
    2011 Won 1st playoff game Conf. Semi: vs. RSL 0-3, 2-0.
    2012 Won 1st playoff series Conf. Semi: vs RSL 0-0, 1-0;
    Conf. Final: vs. L.A. 0-3, x-x?
    2013 (Maybe) Win 1st playoff conference championship?
    2014 (Maybe) Win 1st MLS Cup?

    The s-o-s (season-on-season) improvements are still quite remarkable, nevertheless..
  3. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    MLS Cup Playoffs 2012 Predictions by Regular Season Series
    - revised after Conf. Final 2nd leg (Nov-18).

    Quick Notes:
    • Houston remain the "favorites" now...
    • Prediction Accuracy so far: still 50.00%.
    # Series Predicted
    Winners
    Actual
    Winners
    Hit/Miss?
    1 East KO Chicago Houston Miss
    2 West KO L.A. L.A Hit
    3 East Conf. Semi #1 Houston Houston Hit
    4 East Conf. Semi #2 D.C. D.C. Hit
    5 West Conf. Semi #1 S.J. L.A. Miss
    6 West Conf. Semi #2 RSL. Seattle Miss
    7 East Conf. Final Houston Houston Hit
    8 West Conf. Final Seattle L.A. Miss
    Total 4 Hits / 8 Series
    (50.00%)

    Eastern Conference:
    K.O.:​
    4.Chicago vs. 5.Houston (Regular Season Series: Chicago 1-1, 3-1 Houston @ home; Actual: Houston advanced 2-0.)


    Conference Semis:​
    1.Kansas City vs. 4.Houston (Regular Season Series: 1-2, 0-0, 1-1; Actual: Houston advanced on aggregate goals 2-1)
    2.D.C. United vs. 3.New York (Regular Season Series: 4-1, 2-3, 2-2; Actual: D.C. advanced on aggregate goals 2-1)


    Conference Final:​
    2.D.C. United vs. 4.Houston (Regular Season Series: 3-2, 0-1, 0-4; Actual: Houston advanced on aggregate goals 4-2.)​


    Western Conference:
    K.O.:​
    4.L.A. vs. 5.Vancouver (Regular Season Series: L.A. 3-0, 2-0 V.W. @ home; Actual: L.A. advanced 2-1.)


    Conference Semis:​
    1.San Jose vs. 4.L.A. (Regular Season Series: 3-2, 4-3, 2-2; Actual: L.A. advanced on aggregate goals 3-2)
    2.R.S.L. vs. 3.Seattle (Regular Season Series: 1-0, 0-0, 0-0; Actual: Seattle advanced on aggregate goals 1-0)


    Conference Final:​
    2.Seattle vs. 4.L.A. (Regular Season Series: 2-0, 4-0, 0-1; Actual: L.A. advanced on aggregate goals 4-2.)​


    MLS Cup Final 2012:​
    (SS#8) L.A. vs. (SS#9) Houston (Regular Season Series: 1-2; Houston win MLS Cup!!)
    [​IMG]
    ImaPuppy repped this.
  4. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    The "aftermath" of 2012 conference final results, after Nov-18:
    ImaPuppy repped this.


  5. Bonus_Game

    Bonus_Game Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2007
    Location:
    San Francisco
    Club:
    DC United
    Country:
    United States
    Why do you continue to put so much time into this analysis when it is completely clear based on this and prior seasons that this method has absolutely zero explanatory power?
  6. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    Well, on "absolutely zero explanatory power", I beg to differ.

    The method has correctly projected the outcome of past playoff series, 42% of the time, and is 50/50 in 2012.

    While it may not be very accurate, I wouldn't go as far as calling it "ZERO", ;).
  7. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    According to: http://www.mlssoccer.com/ccl/news/a...-galaxy-dynamo-join-sj-skc-2013-14-tournament:
    The 4th-straight CCL appearances by L.A. have now matched the streak achieved by Houston in 2007-2010, though it's still one short of the record set by D.C. in 1997-2002:

    1. D.C. United (5-straight editions): CONCACAF Champions Cup: 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002 (postpone from 2001).​

    2. Houston Dynamo (4-straight editions):​
    profiled repped this.
  8. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    By the way, noticed that Seattle Sounders (who were playing in Division-2 back then) have taken part in 1996 CCC, with 2 stand-out scorelines:

    USA/Caribbean Playoff

    10 - 0​

    CONCACAF Final Group Stage

    0 -11
    Francisco Palencia [​IMG] 3'
    Carlos Hermosillo [​IMG] 13', 32', 49'
    Julio César Yegros [​IMG] 15', 53', 62'
    Hector Adomaitis [​IMG] 34'
    Benjamin Galindo [​IMG] 35'
    Kieran Barton [​IMG] 72' (OG)​
    Francisco Ramírez [​IMG] 74' (pen.)​

    Are the 10-goal Win, 11-goal Loss and the 21 goal Win-Loss-Swing a record for USA's entrants in CCL/CCC?
  9. Bonus_Game

    Bonus_Game Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2007
    Location:
    San Francisco
    Club:
    DC United
    Country:
    United States
    50/50 is zero explanatory power. A coin flip has zero explanatory power and it's correct 50% of the time... If you had even an inkling of understanding of probability and statistics you would realize that you are pursuing a completely irrelevant and worthless method.
  10. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    The Official CCL Media Guide 2011/12 (http://www.concacaf.com/staticFiles/5/a0/0,,12813~172037,00.pdf) only listed the stats since CCL started in 2008/09, and omitted those in CCC era:
  11. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    Just realized that D.C. United also had another 4-straight CCL appearances in 2007, 2008, 2008–09, 2009–10, according to:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CONCACAF_Champions'_Cup_and_Champions_League_records_and_statistics#All-time_appearances
  12. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    Well, just a question for our dear stats expert: on what % of accuracy would a method be qualified as relevant and worthwhile?
  13. Bonus_Game

    Bonus_Game Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2007
    Location:
    San Francisco
    Club:
    DC United
    Country:
    United States
    It would depend on the number of data points (i.e. the sample size). For smaller sample sizes the percentage would have to be higher and for bigger sample sizes it could be closer to 50% and still have significance.

    I can easily do that for you. The information I would need is the number of playoff series you attempt to predict and the number of those playoff series whose prediction is correct.
    If you want to do this yourself, type the following into R (downloadable online):

    test = c(1, 1, 1, ... , 1, 0, ..., 0) #(every 1 in this vector represents a correct prediction, every 0 an incorrect prediction). So if you had 4 right and 3 wrong you would type "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)".
    test = test - .5 #This is to center the test about 0.
    summary(lm(test ~ 1))

    Below is an example if there are 4 right predictions and 3 wrong ones.
    > test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0) > test = test - .5 > summary(lm(test ~ 1))
    Call:
    lm(formula = test ~ 1)

    Residuals:
    Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
    -0.5714 -0.5714 0.4286 0.4286 0.4286

    Coefficients:
    Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
    (Intercept) 0.07143 0.20203 0.354 0.736

    Residual standard error: 0.5345 on 6 degrees of freedom

    If the bolded number under Pr(>|t|) falls below 0.05 then you have a significant predictor, otherwise it is not really useful. So in this example it would not be a useful predictor.

    Edit: Just did a little trial and error for 100 predictions, and it turns out you need at least 60% correct for 100 data points to have a significant predictor, just to give you an idea.
    henryo repped this.
  14. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    Cool, now we are onto something solid here, will supply the raw data shortly, for further analysis...
  15. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    MLS Cup Playoffs 2012 Predictions by Regular Season Series
    - concluded after MLS Cup Final (Dec-1).

    Quick Notes:
    • L.A. won despite Houston being the "favorites".
    • Prediction Accuracy for 2012 Playoffs: 44.44%.
    # Series Predicted
    Winners
    Actual
    Winners
    Hit/Miss?
    1 East KO Chicago Houston Miss
    2 West KO L.A. L.A Hit
    3 East Conf. Semi #1 Houston Houston Hit
    4 East Conf. Semi #2 D.C. D.C. Hit
    5 West Conf. Semi #1 S.J. L.A. Miss
    6 West Conf. Semi #2 RSL. Seattle Miss
    7 East Conf. Final Houston Houston Hit
    8 West Conf. Final Seattle L.A. Miss
    8 MLS Cup Final Houston L.A. Miss
    Total 4 Hits / 9 Series
    (44.44%)

    Eastern Conference:
    K.O.:​
    4.Chicago vs. 5.Houston (Regular Season Series: Chicago 1-1, 3-1 Houston @ home; Actual: Houston advanced 2-0.) (Miss)

    Conference Semis:​
    1.Kansas City vs. 4.Houston (Regular Season Series: 1-2, 0-0, 1-1; Actual: Houston advanced on aggregate goals 2-1) (Hit)
    2.D.C. United vs. 3.New York (Regular Season Series: 4-1, 2-3, 2-2; Actual: D.C. advanced on aggregate goals 2-1) (Hit)

    Conference Final:​
    2.D.C. United vs. 4.Houston (Regular Season Series: 3-2, 0-1, 0-4; Actual: Houston advanced on aggregate goals 4-2.) (Hit)

    Western Conference:
    K.O.:​
    4.L.A. vs. 5.Vancouver (Regular Season Series: L.A. 3-0, 2-0 V.W. @ home; Actual: L.A. advanced 2-1.) (Hit)

    Conference Semis:​
    1.San Jose vs. 4.L.A. (Regular Season Series: 3-2, 4-3, 2-2; Actual: L.A. advanced on aggregate goals 3-2) (Miss)
    2.R.S.L. vs. 3.Seattle (Regular Season Series: 1-0, 0-0, 0-0; Actual: Seattle advanced on aggregate goals 1-0) (Miss)

    Conference Final:​
    2.Seattle vs. 4.L.A. (Regular Season Series: 2-0, 4-0, 0-1; Actual: L.A. advanced on aggregate goals 4-2.) (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final 2012:
    (SS#8, W4) L.A. vs. (SS#9, E5) Houston (Regular Season Series: 1-2; Actual: L.A. won MLS Cup 3-1!!) (Miss)

    [​IMG]
  16. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    Other implications of L.A.'s win in MLS Cup 2012:

    1. L.A. are now among the 3 lowest-seeded champions ever:
    Seeding Criteria L.A. Remarks
    By Conference W4 Matched the previous record of "4",
    set in 2005 by L.A. (W4) & 2009 by RSL (W5, or "E4").
    By SS Standings #8 Matched the previous record of "#8",
    also set in 2005 by L.A. (#8) and 2009 by RSL (#8).

    2. Bruce Arena becomes the first head coach to win 4 MLS Cups.

    3. He's also the first to win back-to-back titles TWICE.

    4. Dominic Kinnear was denied the chance as the first head coach to win 3 MLS Cups with same team. Alas, it was not to be.

    5. Dom Kin also joined Steve Nicol (N.E.) as the 2nd coach to lose successive cup finals.

    6. He also tied Steve's record of leading the same team to the final 4 times (fortunately he did win twice, unlike the unlucky Steve).

    7. L.A. are the 1st team to score > 10 playoffs goals, since D.C. United scored 10 in 2004.
    Past Teams with >10 playoffs goals in each season were listed as below.

    Season Team GP GS-GA GPG
    (Goals-per-Game)
    Playoffs Outcome Remarks
    2012 L.A. 6 12-6 2.000 Won MLS Cup
    2004 D.C. 4 10-6 2.500 Won MLS Cup
    2003 S.J. 4 12-8 3.000 Won MLS Cup Best GPG ratio ever at 3.000.
    2002 L.A. 6 15-8 2.500 Won MLS Cup Most Goals scored ever at 15, & Best GD at +7.
    2001 S.J. 6 13-3 2.167 Won MLS Cup
    2001 L.A. 7 11-11 1.571 Reached MLS Cup
    2000 Chicago 7 15-8 2.143 Reached MLS Cup Most Goals scored ever at 15, & Best GD at +7.
    1999 D.C. 6 11-6 1.833 Won MLS Cup The only season where 3 teams with > 10 goals.
    1999 L.A. 6 12-6 2.000 Reached MLS Cup
    1999 Columbus 5 10-7 2.000 Reached Conference Final
    1998 L.A. 4 10-5 2.500 Reached Conference Final The only season where 2 teams with > 10 goalsdid not reach the final.
    1998 Columbus 5 10-11 2.000 Reached Conference Final
    1997 D.C. 5 11-5 2.200 Won MLS Cup
    1997 Colorado 5 10-5 2.000 Reached MLS Cup
    1996 D.C. 6 14-7 2.333 Won MLS Cup Best GD at +7.

    At least 1 team has scored >10 playoffs goals in each season between 1996-2004 (9 seasons straight), followed by a "drought" in 2005-2011 (7 seasons straight), until L.A. bucked the trend in 2012.
    Hachiko repped this.
  17. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007

    @ Bonus_Game: It's done! Below table contains the updated raw data through 2012, for your help to analyze please...

    Season Playoffs
    Series
    Same
    Outcome
    Diff.
    Outcome
    % of Same
    Outcome
    Champions
    "Predicted"
    (Actual)
    Champions
    Spotted
    Vector Formula
    2012 9 4 5 44% HOU. (L.A.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)"
    2011 9 4 5 44% HOU. (L.A.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)"
    2010 7 4 3 57% DAL. (COL.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)"
    2009 7 4 3 57% RSL. (RSL.) Yes "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)"
    2008 7 5 2 71% N.Y. (CLB.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0)"
    2007 7 4 3 57% N.E. (HOU.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)"
    2006 7 4 3 57% HOU. (HOU.) Yes "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)"
    2005 7 3 4 43% L.A. (L.A.) Yes "test = c(1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0)"
    2004 7 4 3 57% K.C. (D.C.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)"
    2003 7 3 4 43% CHI. (S.J.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0)"
    2002 7 4 3 57% N.E. (L.A.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)"
    2001 7 4 3 57% S.J. (S.J.) Yes "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)"
    2000 7 2 5 29% CHI. (K.C.) No "test = c(1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)"
    1999 7 3 4 43% D.C. (D.C.) Yes "test = c(1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0)"
    1998 7 4 3 57% D.C. (CHI.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)"
    1997 7 3 4 43% D.C. (D.C.) Yes "test = c(1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0)"
    1996 7 4 3 57% L.A. (D.C.) No "test = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0)"
    Total114 63 51 55% D.C./HOU. rules with 3 titles each!! :thumbsup: 6 Champs out of 16 Finals spotted. (37.5%)


    ===================================================================
    Detailed Predictions for each season as below:
    ===================================================================

    Season 2012:

    Eastern Conference:
    K.O.: (E4).CHI. vs. (E5).HOU. (Reg. Season @ home: CHI. 1-1,3-1; CHI. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced 2-0. (Miss)

    Conference Semis:
    (E1).K.C. vs. (E4).HOU. (Reg. Season: 1-2,0-0,1-1; HOU. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced on aggregate goals 2-1) (Hit)
    (E2).D.C. vs. (E3).N.Y. (Reg. Season: 4-1,2-3,2-2; D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced on aggregate goals 2-1) (Hit)

    Conference Final:
    (E2).D.C. vs. (E4).HOU. (Reg. Season: 3-2,0-1,0-4; HOU. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced on aggregate goals 4-2.) (Hit)

    Western Conference:
    K.O.: (W4).L.A. vs. (W5).VAN. (Reg. Season @ home: L.A. 3-0,2-0; L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced 2-1.) (Hit)

    Conference Semis:
    (W1).S.J. vs. (W4).L.A. (Reg. Season: 3-2,4-3,2-2; S.J. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced on aggregate goals 3-2) (Miss)
    (W2).RSL. vs. (W3).SEA. (Reg. Season: 1-0,0-0,0-0; RSL. would have won); Actual: SEA. advanced on aggregate goals 1-0) (Miss)

    Conference Final:
    (W3).SEA. vs. (W4).L.A. (Reg. Season: 2-0,4-0,0-1; SEA. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced on aggregate goals 4-2.) (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final:
    (SS#8,W4) L.A. vs. (SS#9,E5) HOU. (Reg. Season: 1-2; HOU. would have won); Actual: L.A. won MLS Cup 3-1!!) (Miss)

    ===================================================================

    Season 2011:

    Wildcard Round:
    DAL.(WC1) vs. N.Y.(WC4), Reg. Season @ home: 0-1 (Pts 0:3, N.Y. would have won); Actual: N.Y. advanced. (Hit)
    COL.(WC2) vs. CLB.(WC3), Reg. Season @ home: 2-0 (Pts 3:0, COL. would have won); Actual: COL. advanced. (Hit)

    Conf Semi:
    East:
    K.C.(1E) vs. COL.(WC2), Reg. Season: 1-1, 1-1 (Pts 2:2, GS 2:2, PK 4:3, K.C. would have won); Actual: K.C. advanced. (Hit)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...c38d2212a4ddf053d&form_id=mls_stats_team_form
    HOU.(2E) vs. PHI.(3E), Reg. Season: 0-1, 1-1 (Pts 1:4 PHI. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced!! (Miss)

    West:
    L.A.(1W) vs. N.Y.(4W), Reg. Season: 1-1, 0-2 (Pts 1:4 N.Y. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced!! (Miss)
    SEA.(2W) vs. RSL.(3W), Reg. Season: 1-2, 2-1 (Pts 3:3, GS 3:3, PK 6:5, SEA. would have won); Actual: RSL. advanced!! (Miss)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...c38d2212a4ddf053d&form_id=mls_stats_team_form

    Conf Final:
    East: K.C.(1E) vs. HOU.(2E), Reg. Season @ home: 3-0 (Pts 3:0 K.C. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced!! (Miss)
    West: L.A.(1W) vs. RSL.(3W), Reg. Season @ home: 2-1 (Pts 3:0 L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)

    MLS Cup Final:
    L.A.(1W) vs. HOU.(2E), Reg. Season: 1-0, 1-3 (Pts 3:3, GS 2:3 HOU. would have won); Actual: L.A. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)

    ===================================================================

    Season 2010:

    Conf Semi:
    East:
    N.Y.(1E) vs. S.J.(4E), Reg. Season: 2-0,0-4 (Pts 3:3, GS 2:4, S.J. would have won); Actual: S.J. advanced. (Hit)
    CLB.(2E) vs. COL.(3E), Reg. Season: 3-1,0-1 (Pts 3:3, GS 2:4, CLB. would have won); Actual: COL. advanced!! (Miss)

    West:
    L.A.(1W) vs. SEA.(4W), Reg. Season: 4-0,3-1 (Pts 6:0, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)
    RSL.(2W) vs. DAL.(3W), Reg. Season: Reg. Season: 2-0,0-2 (Pts 3:3, GS 2:2, PK 8:3,DAL. would have won); Actual: DAL. advanced. (Hit)

    Conf Final:
    East: COL.(3E) vs. S.J.(4E), Reg. Season @ home: 1-0 (Pts 3:0, COL. would have won); Actual: COL. advanced. (Hit)
    West: L.A.(1W) vs. DAL.(3W), Reg. Season @ home: 2-1 (Pts 3:0, L.A. would have won); Actual: DAL. advanced!! (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final:
    DAL.(3W) vs. COL.(3E), Reg. Season: 1-1, 2-2 (Pts 3:3, GS 2:2, PK 8:4, DAL. would have won); Actual: COL. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...86820af721b0a8847&form_id=mls_stats_team_form

    ===================================================================

    Season 2009:

    Conf Semi:
    East:
    CLB.(1E) vs. RSL.(4E), Reg. Season: 3-1,1-4 (Pts 3:3, GS 3:4, RSL. would have won); Actual: RSL. advanced. (Hit)
    CHI.(2E) vs. N.E.(3E), Reg. Season: 1-1,0-0 (Pts 2:2, GS 1:1, PK 4-5, N.E. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced. (Miss)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...ead854f4b55a84eb5&form_id=mls_stats_team_form

    West:
    L.A.(1W) vs. CHV.(4W), Reg. Season: 0-0,1-0,1-0 (Pts 7:1, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)
    HOU.(2W) vs. SEA.(3W), Reg. Season: 1-1,1-2 (Pts 1:4, SEA. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced!! (Miss)

    Conf Final:
    East: CHI.(2E) vs. RSL.(4E), Reg. Season @ home: 1-0 (Pts 3:0, CHI. would have won); Actual: RSL. advanced. (Miss)
    West: L.A.(1W) vs. HOU.(2W), Reg. Season @ home: 1-0 (Pts 3:0, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)

    MLS Cup Final:
    L.A.(1W) vs. RSL.(4E), Reg. Season: 2-2,0-2 (Pts 1:4, RSL. would have won); Actual: RSL. won the MLS Cup!! (Hit)

    ===================================================================

    Season 2008:

    Conf Semi:
    East:
    CLB.(1E) vs. K.C.(4E), Reg. Season: 2-1,3-3,3-0 (Pts 7:1, CLB. would have won); Actual: CLB. advanced. (Hit)
    CHI.(2E) vs. N.E.(3E), Reg. Season: 4-0,3-0,2-1 (Pts 9:0, CHI. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced. (Hit)

    West:
    HOU.(1W) vs. N.Y.(4W), Reg. Season: 1-0,0-3 (Pts 3:3, GS 1:3 N.Y. would have won); Actual: N.Y. advanced. (Hit)
    CHV.(2W) vs. RSL.(3W), Reg. Season: 3-1,0-1,1-0 (Pts 6:3, CHV. would have won); Actual: RSL. advanced!! (Miss)

    Conf Final:
    East: CLB.(1E) vs. CHI.(2E), Reg. Season @ home: 2-2 (away 2-2, Pts 2:2, GS 4:4, PK 4:4, Reg.Season Total GS 50:44, CLB. would have won);
    Actual: CLB. advanced. (Hit)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...93c48bc8d0bbd7c4e&form_id=mls_stats_team_form
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/standings/2008
    West: RSL.(3W) vs. N.Y.(4W), Reg. Season @ home: 1-1 (away 1-2, Pts 1:4 N.Y. would have won); Actual: N.Y. advanced. (Hit)

    MLS Cup Final:
    CLB. (1E) vs. N.Y.(4W), Reg. Season: 3-1,0-2,1-3 (Pts 3:6, N.Y.would have won); Actual: CLB. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)

    ===================================================================

    Season 2007:

    Conf Semi:
    East:
    D.C.(1E) vs. CHI.(4E), Reg. Season: 3-1,0-0,1-1 (Pts 5:2, D.C. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced!! (Miss)
    N.E.(2E) vs. N.Y.(3E), Reg. Season: 2-1,1-0 (Pts 6:0, N.E. would have won); Actual: N.E. advanced. (Hit)

    West:
    CHV.(1W) vs. K.C.(5E), Reg. Season: 2-1,2-3 (Pts 3:3, GS 4:4, PK 3:2, CHV. would have won); Actual: K.C. advanced!! (Miss)
    HOU.(2W) vs. DAL.(3W), Reg. Season: 2-1,1-0,0-0,3-0 (Pts 10:1, HOU. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced. (Hit)

    Conf Final:
    East: N.E.(2E) vs. CHI.(4E), Reg. Season @ home: 3-1 (Pts 3:0, N.E. would have won); Actual: N.E. advanced. (Hit)
    West: HOU.(2W) vs. K.C.(5E), Reg. Season @ home: 1-1 (away 1-0, Pts 4:1, HOU. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced. (Hit)

    MLS Cup Final:
    HOU.(2W) vs. N.E.(2E), Reg. Season: 0-1,3-3 (Pts 1:4, N.E. would have won); Actual: HOU. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)

    =============================================================

    Season 2006:

    Conf. Semis:
    East:
    D.C.(1E) vs. N.Y.(4E) - Reg. Season: 2-2,4-1,0-0,4-3 (Pts 8:2, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)
    N.E.(2E) vs. CHI.(3E) - Reg. Season: 1-2,3-3,2-1,0-1 (Pts 4:7, CHI. would have won); Actual: N.E. advanced!! (Miss)

    West:
    DAL.(1W) vs. COL.(4W) - Reg. Season: 2-2,1-0,2-0 (Pts 7:1, DAL. would have won); Actual: COL. advanced!! (Miss)
    HOU.(2W) vs. CHV.(3W) - Reg. Season: 1-1,3-1,0-0 (Pts 5:2, HOU. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced. (Hit)

    Conf. Finals:
    East: D.C.(1E) vs. N.E.(2E) - Reg. Season @ home: 1-0,1-2 (Away 1-1, 1-1, Pts 5:5, GS 4:4, PK 3:2 D.C. would have won);
    Actual: N.E. advanced!! (Miss)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...ef80ba5b15f5f5562&form_id=mls_stats_team_form
    West: HOU.(2W) vs. COL.(4W) - Reg. Season @ home: 5-2, -3 (Pts 4:1, HOU. would have won); Actual: HOU. advanced. (Hit)

    MLS Cup Final:
    N.E.(2E) vs. HOU.(2W) - Reg. Season: 1-1,1-1 (Pts 3:3, GS 2:2, PK 2:2, Reg.Season Total GS 44:39, HOU. would have won);
    Actual: HOU. won the MLS Cup!! (Hit)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...ef80ba5b15f5f5562&form_id=mls_stats_team_form
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/standings/2006
    =============================================================

    Season 2005:

    Conf. Semis:
    East:
    N.E.(1E) vs. N.Y.(4E) - Reg. Season: 2-2,4-2,4-5,1-0 (Pts 7:4, N.E. would have won); Actual: N.E. advanced. (Hit)
    D.C.(2E) vs. CHI.(3E) - Reg. Season: 1-1,4-3,3-4,3-2 (Pts 7:4, D.C. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced!! (Miss)

    West:
    S.J.(1W) vs. L.A.(4W) - Reg. Season: 1-2,3-0,2-1,3-1 (Pts 9:3, S.J. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced!! (Miss)
    DAL.(2W) vs. COL.(3W) - Reg. Season: 0-0,2-1,3-1,0-0 (Pts 8:2, DAL. would have won); Actual: COL. advanced!! (Miss)

    Conf. Finals:
    East: N.E.(1E) vs. CHI.(3E) - Reg. Season @ home: 2-0,1-0 (Pts 6:0, N.E. would have won); Actual: N.E. advanced. (Hit)
    West: COL.(3W) vs. L.A.(4W) - Reg. Season @ home: 1-0,2-0 (Pts 6:0, COL. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced!! (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final:
    N.E.(1E) vs. L.A.(4W) - Reg. Season: 1-1,1-1 (Pts 2:2, GS 1:1, PK 2:6, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. won the MLS Cup!! (Hit)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...55733a00d432c2075&form_id=mls_stats_team_form

    =============================================================

    Season 2004:

    Conf. Semis:
    East:
    CLB.(1E) vs. N.E.(4E) - Reg. Season: 1-0,2-1,1-1,2-2 (Pts 8:2, CLB. would have won); Actual: N.E. advanced!! (Miss)
    D.C.(2E) vs. N.Y.(3E) - Reg. Season: 2-3,6-2,1-0,3-2 (Pts 9:3, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)

    West:
    K.C.(1W) vs. S.J.(4W) - Reg. Season: 1-1,0-2,1-0,0-0 (Pts 5:5, GS 2:3, S.J. would have won); Actual: K.C. advanced!! (Miss)
    L.A.(2W) vs. COL.(3W) - Reg. Season: 1-1,1-1,2-0,0-0 (Pts 6:3, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)

    Conf. Finals:
    East: D.C.(2E) vs. N.E.(4E) - Reg. Season @ home: 2-2,1-0 (Pts 4:1, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced!! (Hit)
    West: K.C.(1W) vs. L.A.(2W) - Reg. Season @ home: 2-2,1-0 (Pts 4:1, K.C. would have won); Actual: K.C. advanced!! (Hit)

    MLS Cup Final:
    K.C.(1W) vs. D.C.(2E) - Reg. Season: 0-1,1-0 (Pts 3:3, GS 1:1, PK 3:1, K.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...0e0e87d9282e919ca&form_id=mls_stats_team_form

    =============================================================

    Season 2003:

    Conf. Semis:
    East:
    CHI.(1E) vs. D.C.(4E) - Reg. Season: 0-0,0-2,1-2,3-1 (Pts 4:7, D.C. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced!! (Miss)
    N.E.(2E) vs. N.Y.(3E) - Reg. Season: 3-3,2-1,2-1,5-2 (Pts 10:1, N.E. would have won); Actual: N.E. advanced. (Hit)

    West:
    S.J.(1W) vs. L.A.(4W) - Reg. Season: 1-0,1-1,0-3,1-1 (Pts 5:5, GS 3:5, L.A. would have won); Actual: S.J. advanced!! (Miss)
    K.C.(2W) vs. COL.(3W) - Reg. Season: 2-3,2-2,0-1,4-2 (Pts 4:7, COL. would have won); Actual: K.C. advanced!! (Miss)

    Conf. Finals:
    East: CHI.(1E) vs. N.E.(2E) - Reg. Season @ home: 1-1, 3-1 (Pts 4:1, CHI. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced!! (Hit)
    West: S.J.(1W) vs. K.C.(2W) - Reg. Season @ home: 1-1, 0-0 (Away: 1-0, 4-1) (Pts 8:2, S.J. would have won); Actual: S.J. advanced!! (Hit)

    MLS Cup Final:
    CHI.(1E) vs. S.J.(1W) - Reg. Season: 0-0,4-1,0-0 (Pts 5:2, CHI. would have won); Actual: S.J. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)

    =============================================================

    Season 2002:

    Quarters:
    L.A.(1) vs. K.C.(8) - Reg. Season: 2-1,1-2,2-2,2-1 (Pts 7:4, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)
    N.E.(2) vs. CHI.(7) - Reg. Season: 2-2,1-3,0-2,2-1 (Pts 4:7, CHI. would have won); Actual: N.E. advanced!! (Miss)
    S.J.(3) vs. CLB.(6) - Reg. Season: 3-2,0-2,1-2,4-3 (Pts 6:6, GS 8:9, CLB. would have won); Actual: CLB. advanced. (Hit)
    DAL.(4) vs. COL.(5) - Reg. Season: 3-1,4-1,2-2,2-3 (Pts 7:4, DAL. would have won); Actual: COL. advanced!! (Miss)

    Semis:
    L.A.(1) vs. COL.(5) - Reg. Season: 0-1,2-3,3-1,4-0 (Pts 6:6, GS 9:5, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)
    N.E.(2) vs. CLB.(6) - Reg. Season: 1-2,2-0,4-1,0-0 (Pts 7:4, N.E. would have won); Actual: N.E. advanced!! (Hit)

    MLS Cup Final:
    L.A.(1) vs. N.E.(2) - Reg. Season: 2-3,2-1
    (Pts 3:3, GS 4:4, PK 3:3, Reg.Season Total GS 44:49, N.E. would have won); Actual: L.A. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...bbd9df11fe952f767&form_id=mls_stats_team_form
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/standings/2002
    =============================================================

    Season 2001:

    Quarters:
    MIA.(1) vs K.C.(8) - Reg.Season: 1-2,5-1 (Pts 3:3, GS 6:3, MIA. would have won); Actual: MIA. advanced. (Hit)
    CHI.(2) vs DAL.(7) - Reg.Season: 2-3,2-1,2-2 (Pts 4:4, GS 6:6, PK 4:3, CHI. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced. (Hit)
    L.A.(3) vs N.Y.(6) - Reg.Season: 0-2,2-0; (Pts 3:3, GS 2:2, PK 5:1, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)
    CLB.(4) vs S.J.(5) - Reg.Season: 2-1,2-2 (Pts 4:1, CLB. would have won); Actual: S.J. advanced!! (Miss)

    Semis:
    MIA.(1) vs S.J.(5) - Reg.Season: 2-1,1-1 (Pts 4:1, MIA. would have won); Actual: S.J. advanced!! (Miss)
    CHI.(2) vs L.A.(3) - Reg.Season: 3-4,3-1 (Pts 3:3, GS 6:5, CHI. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced!! (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final:
    L.A.(3) vs S.J.(5) - Reg.Season: 2-3,1-3 (Pts 0:6, S.J. would have won); Actual: S.J. won the MLS Cup!! (Hit)

    =============================================================

    Season 2000:

    Quarters:
    K.C.(1) vs COL.(8) - Reg.Season: 3-0,5-0,3-1,1-1 (Pts 10:1, K.C. would have won); Actual: K.C. advanced. (Hit)
    CHI.(2) vs N.E.(7) - Reg.Season: 1-1,0-1 (Pts 1:4, N.E. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced!! (Miss)
    N.Y.(3) vs DAL.(6) - Reg.Season: 2-1,6-4 (Pts 6:0, N.Y. would have won); Actual: N.Y. advanced. (Hit)
    T.B.(4) vs L.A.(5) - Reg.Season: 1-2,2-0 (Pts 6:6, GS 3:2, T.B. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced!! (Miss)

    Semis:
    K.C.(1) vs L.A.(5) - Reg.Season: 0-0,2-0,1-5,1-1 (Pts 5:5, GS 4:6, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced!! (Miss)
    CHI.(2) vs N.Y.(3) - Reg.Season: 1-4,3-1 (Pts 3:3, GS 4:5 N.Y. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced!! (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final:
    K.C.(1) vs CHI.(2) - Reg.Season: 4-3,2-3 (Pts 3:3, GS 6:6, PK 0:5 CHI. would have won); Actual: K.C. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team...382ced6ac002e4a66&form_id=mls_stats_team_form

    =============================================================

    Season 1999:

    Conf Semi:
    East:
    D.C.(1E) vs MIA.(4E) - Reg.Season: 3-1,3-1,3-2(SO),3-1 (Pts 10:0, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)
    CLB.(2E) vs T.B.(3E) - Reg.Season: 3-2,0-1(SO),1-2(SO),1-2 (Pts 5:3, T.B. would have won); Actual: CLB. advanced!! (Miss)

    West:
    L.A.(1W) vs COL.(4W) - Reg.Season: 2-1(SO),0-1,0-1,4-0 (Pts 6:4, COL. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced!! (Miss)
    DAL.(2W) vs CHI.(3W) - Reg.Season: 1-0(SO),1-2(SO),1-2,4-3(SO) (Pts 4:2, CHI. would have won); Actual: DAL. advanced!! (Miss)

    Conf Final:
    East: D.C.(1E) vs T.B.(3E) - Reg.Season: 5-2,3-2(SO),2-1,2-4 (Pts 7:3, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)
    West: L.A.(1W) vs DAL.(2W) - Reg.Season: 1-0(SO),2-0,0-1,3-4 (Pts 4:6, DAL. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final:
    D.C.(1E) vs L.A.(1W) - Reg.Season: 1-2,2-0 (Pts 3:3, GS: 3:2, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. won the MLS Cup!! (Hit)

    =============================================================

    Season 1998:

    Conf Semi:
    East:
    D.C.(1E) vs MIA.(4E) - Reg.Season: 2-0,3-1,3-4,1-3 (Pts 6:6, GS 9:8, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)
    CLB.(2E) vs N.Y.(3E) - Reg.Season: 2-1,0-3,1-3,4-3 (Pts 6:6, GS 7:10, N.Y. would have won); Actual: CLB. advanced!! (Miss)

    West:
    L.A.(1W) vs DAL.(4W) - Reg.Season: 4-1,8-1,0-3,3-0 (Pts 9:3, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)
    CHI.(2W) vs COL.(3W) - Reg.Season: 4-5(SO),5-0,2-0,3-1 (Pts 9:1, CHI. would have won); Actual: CHI. advanced. (Hit)

    Conf Final:
    East: D.C.(1E) vs CLB.(2E) - Reg.Season: 1-2,2-1,4-3(SO),3-2(SO) (Pts 9:3, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)
    West: L.A.(1W) vs CHI.(2W) - Reg.Season: 1-3,1-2(SO),2-1,1-0 (Pts 6:4, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced!! (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final:
    CHI.(2W) vs D.C.(1E) - Reg.Season: 1-3,1-4 (Pts 0:6, D.C. would have won); Actual: CHI. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)

    =============================================================

    Season 1997:

    Conf Semi:
    East:
    D.C.(1E) vs N.E.(4E) - Reg.Season: 1-0(SO),1-0,3-2,3-2(SO) (Pts 8:0, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)
    T.B.(2E) vs CLB.(3E) - Reg.Season: 3-1,1-0(SO),2-1,1-2(SO) (Pts 7:1, T.B. would have won); Actual: CLB. advanced!! (Miss)

    West:
    K.C.(1W) vs COL.(4W) - Reg.Season: 4-3(SO),1-0,2-1,5-2 (Pts 10:0, K.C. would have won); Actual: COL. advanced!! (Miss)
    L.A.(2W) vs DAL.(3W) - Reg.Season: 1-2,3-0,3-1,2-1 (Pts 9:3, L.A. would have won); Actual: DAL. advanced!! (Miss)

    Conf Final:
    East: D.C.(1E) vs CLB.(3E) - Reg.Season: 3-2,2-1(SO),4-2,0-2 (Pts 7:3, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)
    West: DAL.(3W) vs COL.(4W) - Reg.Season: 4-1,0-1,4-2,4-1 (Pts 9:3, DAL. would have won); Actual: COL. advanced!! (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final:
    D.C.(1E) vs COL.(4W) - Reg.Season: 5-2,5-0,2-3(SO) (Pts 6:1, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. won the MLS Cup!! (Hit)

    =============================================================

    Season 1996:

    Conf Semi:
    East:
    T.B.(1E) vs CLB.(4E): Reg.Season: 2-1,3-4(SO),4-1,0-1 (Pts 6:4, T.B. would have won); Actual: T.B. advanced. (Hit)
    D.C.(2E) vs N.Y.(3E): Reg.Season: 1-2(SO),2-1,3-2,1-2 (Pts 6:4, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)

    West:
    L.A.(1W) vs S.J.(4W): Reg.Season: 2-1,2-1,2-1(SO),4-2 (Pts 10:0, L.A. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced. (Hit)
    DAL.(2W) vs K.C.(3W): Reg.Season: 3-0,3-2,0-1,2-1 (Pts 9:3, DAL. would have won); Actual: K.C. advanced!! (Miss)

    Conf Final:
    East: T.B.(1E) vs D.C.(2E): Reg.Season: 0-1,1-3,0-3,2-0 (Pts 3:9, D.C. would have won); Actual: D.C. advanced. (Hit)
    West: L.A.(1W) vs K.C.(2W): Reg.Season: 2-0,1-3,2-3(SO),1-2(SO) (Pts 3:5, K.C. would have won); Actual: L.A. advanced!! (Miss)

    MLS Cup Final:
    D.C.(2E) vs L.A.(1W): Reg.Season: 1-2,1-3,2-1 (Pts 3:6, L.A. would have won); Actual: D.C. won the MLS Cup instead!! (Miss)
  18. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    Time to revive this thread for 2013!!

    MLS Cup 2013 Predictions by Regular Season Series, through Oct-27:

    Play-In:
    - E4 vs E5: Houston vs Montreal; 1-0.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Houston in regular season on Oct-4) Houston advance.
    - W4 vs W5: Seattle vs Colorado; 1-1.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Seattle in regular season on July-20;
    Tie-Break with the most recent game in 2013: Colorado 5-1 on Oct-5) Colorado advance.


    Conference Semis:
    East:
    - E1 vs E4/5: N.Y. vs Houston;
    3-0 (most recent road game vs Houston on Oct-20),
    2-0 (most recent home game vs Houston on June-30). New York advance.
    - E2 vs E3: K.C. vs N.E.; 1-1, 3-0. K.C. advance.
    West:
    - W1 vs W4/5: Portland vs Colorado; 2-2, 1-0. Portland advance.
    - W2 vs W3: RSL vs L.A.; 3-1, 2-4. (Tie-Break with the other game in 2013: L.A. 2-0 on Apr-27). L.A. advance.


    Conference Final:
    - East: N.Y. vs K.C.; 0-1, 3-1. N.Y. advance.
    - West: Portland vs L.A.; 1-0, 0-0. Portland advance.


    MLS Cup Final:
    - N.Y. vs Portland; 3-3 (PK 3-3 per TeamStats Link Below.
    Tie-Break with Regular Season Goals Scored: NY. 58-54 Portland)
    http://www.mlssoccer.com/stats/team?sort=desc&order=PKG

    NYRB to win MLS Cup 2013!!
    [​IMG]
  19. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    OK, the first prediction for Seattle vs Colorado went off the mark...


    MLS Cup 2013 Predictions by Regular Season Series,
    through Oct-30 (Seattle 2-0 Colorado):


    Play-In:
    - W4 vs W5: Seattle vs Colorado; 1-1.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Seattle in regular season on July-20;
    Tie-Break with the most recent game in 2013: Colorado 5-1 on Oct-5) Colorado to advance.
    [Actual: Seattle advanced 2-0.]

    - E4 vs E5: Houston vs Montreal; 1-0.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Houston in regular season on Oct-4) Houston to advance.
    [Actual: TBD]

    Conference Semis:
    East:
    - E1 vs E4/5: N.Y. vs Houston;
    3-0 (=most recent road game vs Houston on Oct-20),
    2-0 (=most recent home game vs Houston on June-30). New York to advance. [Actual: TBD]

    - E2 vs E3: K.C. vs N.E.; 1-1, 3-0. K.C. to advance. [Actual: TBD]

    West:
    - W1 vs W4/5: Portland vs Seattle Colorado; 1-0, 0-1.
    (The other game in 2013=1-1; PK 3-3 per MLS TeamStats;
    Tie-Break with Regular Season Goals Scored: Portland. 54-42 Seattle.) Portland to advance.
    [Actual: TBD]

    - W2 vs W3: RSL vs L.A.; 3-1, 2-4. (Tie-Break with the other game in 2013: L.A. 2-0 on Apr-27). L.A. to advance. [Actual: TBD]


    Conference Final:
    - East: N.Y. vs K.C.; 0-1, 3-1. N.Y. to advance. [Actual: TBD]
    - West: Portland vs L.A.; 1-0, 0-0. Portland to advance. [Actual: TBD]


    MLS Cup Final:
    - N.Y. vs Portland; 3-3 (PK 3-3 per MLS TeamStats;
    Tie-Break with Regular Season Goals Scored: NY. 58-54 Portland) [Actual: TBD]

    NYRB to win MLS Cup 2013!!
    [​IMG]
  20. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    Forecast for Houston-Montreal was a Hit.

    Prediction Accuracies so far: 50%.

    # Date Game Forecast
    Winners
    Actual
    Winners
    Hit/Miss Remarks
    1 Oct-30 West Play-in:
    Seattle vs Colorado
    Colorado Seattle Miss
    2 Oct-31 East Play-in:
    Houston vs Montreal
    Houston Houston Hit
    Total 50%
  21. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    Following the conclusion of Conference Semi Finals,
    K.C. have replaced N.Y. as the front runners for MLS Cup 2013...

    Here's how: ;)



    MLS Cup 2013 Predictions by Regular Season Series,
    through Nov-7 (end of Conference Semi-Finals):


    Prediction Accuracies so far: still 50%.

    # Date Game Forecast
    Winners
    Actual
    Winners
    Hit/Miss Remarks
    1 Oct-30 West Play-in:
    Seattle vs Colorado
    Colorado Seattle Miss
    2 Oct-31 East Play-in:
    Houston vs Montreal
    Houston Houston Hit
    3 Nov-6 East Conf Semi #1:
    N.Y. vs Houston
    N.Y. Houston Miss
    4 Nov-6 East Conf Semi #2:
    K.C. vs N.E.
    K.C. K.C. Hit
    5 Nov-7 West Conf Semi #2:
    RSL vs L.A.
    L.A. RSL Miss
    6 Nov-7 West Conf Semi #1:
    Portland vs Seattle
    Portland Portland Hit
    Total 3 Hits 3 Misses 50%


    Play-In:
    - W4 vs W5: Seattle vs Colorado; 1-1.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Seattle in regular season on July-20;
    Tie-Break with the most recent game in 2013: Colorado 5-1 on Oct-5)
    [Forecast: Colorado to advance.]
    [Actual: Seattle advanced 2-0.]

    - E4 vs E5: Houston vs Montreal; 1-0.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Houston in regular season on Oct-4)
    [Forecast: Houston to advance.]
    [Actual: Houston advanced 3-0]


    Conference Semis:
    East:
    - E1 vs E4/5: N.Y. vs Houston;
    3-0 (=most recent road game vs Houston on Oct-20),
    2-0 (=most recent home game vs Houston on June-30).
    [Forecast: New York to advance.]
    [Actual: Hosuton advanced 4-3 on agg.]


    - E2 vs E3: K.C. vs N.E.; 1-1, 3-0.
    [Forecast: K.C. to advance.]
    [Actual: K.C. advanced 4-3 on agg.]

    West:
    - W1 vs W4/5: Portland vs Seattle Colorado; 1-0, 0-1.
    (The other game in 2013=1-1; PK 3-3 per MLS TeamStats;
    Tie-Break with Regular Season Goals Scored: Portland. 54-42 Seattle.)
    [Forecast: Portland to advance]
    [Actual: Portland advanced 5-3 on agg.]

    - W2 vs W3: RSL vs L.A.; 3-1, 2-4. (Tie-Break with the other game in 2013: L.A. 2-0 on Apr-27).
    [Forecast: L.A. to advance.]
    [Actual: RSL advanced 2-1 on agg.]


    Conference Final:
    - East: K.C. N.Y. vs Houston K.C.; 0-0, 1-1., PK 4-3 per MLS TeamStats
    [Forecast: K.C. to advance].
    [Actual: TBD]

    - West: Portland vs RSL L.A.; 2-4, 0-0.
    [Forecast: RSL to advance.]
    [Actual: TBD]


    MLS Cup Final:
    - K.C. N.Y. vs RSL Portland; 2-1 [Actual: TBD]

    SKC NYRB to win MLS Cup 2013!!
    [​IMG][​IMG]
    Last edited: Nov 8, 2013
  22. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    Following the conclusion of Conference Finals,
    K.C. remain the front runners for MLS Cup 2013...

    Here's how: ;)



    MLS Cup 2013 Predictions by Regular Season Series,
    through Nov-24 (end of Conference Finals):


    Prediction Accuracies so far: improved to 62.50%.

    # Date Game Forecast
    Winners
    Actual
    Winners
    Hit/Miss Remarks
    1 Oct-30 West Play-in:
    Seattle vs Colorado
    Colorado Seattle Miss
    2 Oct-31 East Play-in:
    Houston vs Montreal
    Houston Houston Hit
    3 Nov-6 East Conf Semi #1:
    N.Y. vs Houston
    N.Y. Houston Miss
    4 Nov-6 East Conf Semi #2:
    K.C. vs N.E.
    K.C. K.C. Hit
    5 Nov-7 West Conf Semi #2:
    RSL vs L.A.
    L.A. RSL Miss
    6 Nov-7 West Conf Semi #1:
    Portland vs Seattle
    Portland Portland Hit
    7 Nov-23 East Conf Final:
    K.C. vs Houston
    K.C. K.C. Hit
    8 Nov-24 West Conf Final:
    Portland vs RSL
    RSL RSL Hit
    Total 5 Hits 3 Misses 62.50%


    Play-In:
    - W4 vs W5: Seattle vs Colorado; 1-1.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Seattle in regular season on July-20;
    Tie-Break with the most recent game in 2013: Colorado 5-1 on Oct-5)
    [Forecast: Colorado to advance.]
    [Actual: Seattle advanced 2-0.]

    - E4 vs E5: Houston vs Montreal; 1-0.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Houston in regular season on Oct-4)
    [Forecast: Houston to advance.]
    [Actual: Houston advanced 3-0]


    Conference Semis:
    East:
    - E1 vs E4/5: N.Y. vs Houston;
    3-0 (=most recent road game vs Houston on Oct-20),
    2-0 (=most recent home game vs Houston on June-30).
    [Forecast: New York to advance.]
    [Actual: Hosuton advanced 4-3 on agg.]


    - E2 vs E3: K.C. vs N.E.; 1-1, 3-0.
    [Forecast: K.C. to advance.]
    [Actual: K.C. advanced 4-3 on agg.]

    West:
    - W1 vs W4/5: Portland vs Seattle Colorado; 1-0, 0-1.
    (The other game in 2013=1-1; PK 3-3 per MLS TeamStats;
    Tie-Break with Regular Season Goals Scored: Portland. 54-42 Seattle.)
    [Forecast: Portland to advance]
    [Actual: Portland advanced 5-3 on agg.]

    - W2 vs W3: RSL vs L.A.; 3-1, 2-4. (Tie-Break with the other game in 2013: L.A. 2-0 on Apr-27).
    [Forecast: L.A. to advance.]
    [Actual: RSL advanced 2-1 on agg.]


    Conference Final:
    - East: K.C. N.Y. vs Houston K.C.; 0-0, 1-1., PK 4-3 per MLS TeamStats
    [Forecast: K.C. to advance].
    [Actual: K.C. advanced 2-1 on agg.]

    - West: Portland vs RSL L.A.; 2-4, 0-0.
    [Forecast: RSL to advance.]
    [Actual: RSL advanced 5-2 on agg.]


    MLS Cup Final:
    - K.C. N.Y. vs RSL Portland; K.C. to win 2-1 as on July-21:
    http://aragon.ws/soccerdb/team/team.php?teamId=398
    [Actual: TBD]

    SKC NYRB to win MLS Cup 2013!!
    [​IMG][​IMG]
  23. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    So there goes the 2013 season. With SKC winning the cup, the prediction accuracy have risen to 66.67%, the highest after 71.43% in 2008!! (@Bonus_Game)


    MLS Cup 2013 Predictions by Regular Season Series,
    through Dec-07 (MLS Cup Finals):


    Prediction Accuracy: 6/9 = 66.67%.

    # Date Game Forecast
    Winners
    Actual
    Winners
    Hit/Miss Remarks
    1 Oct-30 West Play-in:
    Seattle vs Colorado
    Colorado Seattle Miss
    2 Oct-31 East Play-in:
    Houston vs Montreal
    Houston Houston Hit
    3 Nov-6 East Conf Semi #1:
    N.Y. vs Houston
    N.Y. Houston Miss
    4 Nov-6 East Conf Semi #2:
    K.C. vs N.E.
    K.C. K.C. Hit
    5 Nov-7 West Conf Semi #2:
    RSL vs L.A.
    L.A. RSL Miss
    6 Nov-7 West Conf Semi #1:
    Portland vs Seattle
    Portland Portland Hit
    7 Nov-23 East Conf Final:
    K.C. vs Houston
    K.C. K.C. Hit
    8 Nov-24 West Conf Final:
    Portland vs RSL
    RSL RSL Hit
    9 Dec-7 MLS Cup Final:
    K.C. vs RSL
    K.C. K.C. Hit
    Total 6 Hits 3 Misses 66.67%


    Play-In:
    - W4 vs W5: Seattle vs Colorado; 1-1.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Seattle in regular season on July-20;
    Tie-Break with the most recent game in 2013: Colorado 5-1 on Oct-5)
    [Forecast: Colorado to advance.]
    [Actual: Seattle advanced 2-0.]

    - E4 vs E5: Houston vs Montreal; 1-0.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for Houston in regular season on Oct-4)
    [Forecast: Houston to advance.]
    [Actual: Houston advanced 3-0]


    Conference Semis:
    East:
    - E1 vs E4/5: N.Y. vs Houston;
    3-0 (=most recent road game vs Houston on Oct-20),
    2-0 (=most recent home game vs Houston on June-30).
    [Forecast: New York to advance.]
    [Actual: Hosuton advanced 4-3 on agg.]


    - E2 vs E3: K.C. vs N.E.; 1-1, 3-0.
    [Forecast: K.C. to advance.]
    [Actual: K.C. advanced 4-3 on agg.]

    West:
    - W1 vs W4/5: Portland vs Seattle Colorado; 1-0, 0-1.
    (The other game in 2013=1-1; PK 3-3 per MLS TeamStats;
    Tie-Break with Regular Season Goals Scored: Portland. 54-42 Seattle.)
    [Forecast: Portland to advance]
    [Actual: Portland advanced 5-3 on agg.]

    - W2 vs W3: RSL vs L.A.; 3-1, 2-4. (Tie-Break with the other game in 2013: L.A. 2-0 on Apr-27).
    [Forecast: L.A. to advance.]
    [Actual: RSL advanced 2-1 on agg.]


    Conference Final:
    - East: K.C. N.Y. vs Houston K.C.; 0-0, 1-1., PK 4-3 per MLS TeamStats
    [Forecast: K.C. to advance].
    [Actual: K.C. advanced 2-1 on agg.]

    - West: Portland vs RSL L.A.; 2-4, 0-0.
    [Forecast: RSL to advance.]
    [Actual: RSL advanced 5-2 on agg.]


    MLS Cup Final:
    - K.C. N.Y. vs RSL Portland;
    [Forecast: K.C. to win 2-1 as on July-21]
    http://aragon.ws/soccerdb/team/team.php?teamId=398
    [Actual: K.C. won 7-6 PK, 1-1 AET.]

    SKC won MLS Cup 2013!!
    [​IMG][​IMG]
    Revolt repped this.
  24. henryo

    henryo Member+

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    It's time to revive this thread for 2014 playoffs!! ;)
    (ref: http://pressbox.mlssoccer.com/content/schedule-2014-mls-cup-playoffs-presented-att-announced)


    MLS Cup 2014 Predictions by Regular Season Series,
    through Oct-26 (the end of Regular Season):


    Prediction Accuracy so far: 0/9 = 0.00%.

    # Date Game Forecast
    Winners
    Actual
    Winners
    Hit/Miss Remarks
    1 Oct-29 West Play-in:
    DAL vs VAN
    DAL TBD TBD
    2 Oct-30 East Play-in:
    NYRB vs SKC
    NYRB TBD TBD
    3 Nov-1,9 East Conf Semi #1:
    NER vs CLB
    CLB TBD TBD
    4 Nov-2,8 East Conf Semi #2:
    DCU vs NYRB/SKC
    TBD TBD TBD
    5 Nov-1,9 West Conf Semi #1:
    LAG vs RSL
    LAG TBD TBD
    6 Nov-2,10 West Conf Semi #2:
    SEA vs DAL/VAN
    TBD TBD TBD
    7 Nov-23 East Conf Final:
    TBD
    TBD TBD TBD
    8 Nov-23 West Conf Final:
    TBD
    TBD TBD TBD
    9 Dec-7 MLS Cup Final:
    TBD
    TBD TBD TBD
    Total 0 Hits 0 Misses 0.00%


    Play-In:
    - W4 vs W5: DAL vs VAN; 2-1.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for DAL in regular season on Sep-13)
    [Forecast: DAL to advance.]
    [Actual: TBD]

    - E4 vs E5: NYRB vs SKC; 2-1.
    (Exact score of most recent home game for NYRB in regular season on Sep-6)
    [Forecast: NYRB to advance.]
    [Actual: TBD]

    Conference Semis:

    East:
    - E1 vs E4/5: DCU vs NYRB;
    0-1 (=most recent road game for DCU on Sep-10),
    2-0 (=most recent home game for DCU on Aug-31).
    [Forecast: DCU to advance.]
    [Actual: TBD.]


    - E2 vs E3: NER vs CLB; 0-1, 2-1.
    [Forecast: CLB to advance on Away Goals Rule.]
    [Actual: TBD.]

    West:
    - W1 vs W4/5: SEA vs DAL; 1-3, 2-1.
    [Forecast: DAL to advance]
    [Actual: TBD.]

    - W2 vs W3: LAG vs RSL; 1-1, 1-0.
    [Forecast: L.A. to advance.]
    [Actual: TBD.]

    Conference Final:

    - East: DCU vs CLB; 1-1, 0-0.,
    [Forecast: DCU to advance on Away Goals Rule.].
    [Actual: TBD.]


    - West: LAG vs DAL; 1-2, 2-1. (Tiebreaker: LAG won the next most recent game on May-21 by 2-1.)
    [Forecast: LAG to advance.]
    [Actual: TBD.]

    MLS Cup Final:

    - LAG vs DCU;
    [Forecast: LAG to win 4-1 as on Aug-27]
    [Actual: TBD.]

    L.A. Galaxy to win MLS Cup 2014!!
    [​IMG] [​IMG]
  25. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Joined:
    Mar 30, 2004
    Location:
    Nassau County, NY
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Country:
    United States
    At the bottom of the Hit/Miss column, the value should be undefined before the playoffs start, not 0.00%. 0/0 doesn't equal 0. Now you're 1 out of 1, and as a Red Bulls fan I hope you go 2 out of 2.
    henryo repped this.

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